A Ballpark Opens and A Ballplayer Dies: The Converging Fates of Shibe Park and “Doc” Powers by Robert D. Warrington
The 1914 Stallings Platoon: Assessing Execution, Impact, and Strategic Philosophy by Bryan Soderholm-Difatte
“Elmer the Great” The Third Brother Dean by Paul Geisler Jr.
BASEBALL AND CULTURE
Henderson, Cartwright, and the 1953 US Congress by Adam Berenbak
What’s My Line? and Baseball by Rob Edelman
Fact vs. Fiction: An Analysis of Baseball in Films by David Krell
Remembering the 1954 Waco Pirates and the Mejias Streak by Sam Zygner
"Giving up the Stars and Reaching for the Moon": The Rookie Debut of Wally Moon by Mark Randall
A Season-Ending Doubleheader and Its Impact on the 1966 World Series by David E. Skelton
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS High Altitude Offense
High Altitude Offense by Eliza Richardson
Do Hitters Boost Their Performance During Their Contract Years? By Heather O’Neill
Revisiting the Ex-Cub Factor by Lee May and Frank Van Santen
PROBABILITIES AND MATCHUPS
World Series Game Situation Winning Probabilities: How Often Do Teams Come Back from Behind? By Douglas Jordan
A New Formula to Predict a Team’s Winning Percentage by Stanley Rothman, Ph.D.
Probabilities of Victory in Head-to-Head Team Matchups by John A. Richards
Matchup Probabilities in Major League Baseball by Matt Haechrel
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Küffner R. Zach N. Norel R. Hawe J. Schoenfeld D. Wang L. Li G. Fang L. Mackey L. Hardiman O. Cudkowicz M. Sherman A. Ertaylan G. Grosse-Wentrup M. Hothorn T. van Ligtenberg J. Macke JH. Meyer T. Schölkopf B. Tran L. Vaughan R. Stolovitzky G and Leitner ML (January-2015) Crowdsourced analysis of clinical trial data to predict amyotrophic lateral sclerosis progressionNature Biotechnology33(1) 51-57.
Charpiat G. Hofmann M and Schölkopf B. Kernel Methods in Medical Imaging. 63-81. In: Handbook of Biomedical Imaging: Methodologies and Clinical Research. (Ed) N. Paragios. Springer. Boston, MA, USA. (2015).
Kümmerer M. Theis L and Bethge M (May-8-2015): Deep Gaze I: Boosting Saliency Prediction with Feature Maps Trained on ImageNet. International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR 2015), San Diego, CA, USA.
Peters J. Mülling K and Kober J (2014) Experiments with Motor Primitives to learn Table Tennis In: Experimental Robotics,. 12th International Symposium on Experimental Robotics (ISER 2010), Springer, Berlin, Germany, 347-359.
Besserve M. Logothetis NK and Schölkopf B (2014) Statistical analysis of coupled time series with Kernel Cross-Spectral Density operators In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 26,. Twenty-Seventh Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS 2013), Curran, Red Hook, NY, USA, 2537-2545.
Schütt H. Harmeling S. Macke J and Wichmann F (August-2014): Pain-free bayesian inference for psychometric functions. 37th European Conference on Visual Perception (ECVP 2014), Beograd, Serbia, Perception, 43(ECVP Abstract Supplement) 162.
Besserve M. Schölkopf B and Logothetis NK (November-15-2014) Abstract Talk: Unsupervised identification of neural events in local field potentials. 44th Annual Meeting of the Society for Neuroscience (Neuroscience 2014), Washington, DC, USA 2.12.
Loktyuschin A. Nickisch H. Pohmann R and Schölkopf B (December-2013) Blind Retrospective Motion Correction of MR ImagesMagnetic Resonance in Medicine70(6) 1608–1618.
Chagas AM. Theis L. Sengupta B. Stüttgen MC. Bethge M and Schwarz C (December-2013) Functional analysis of ultra high information rates conveyed by rat vibrissal primary afferentsFrontiers in Neural Circuits7(190) 1-17.
Theis L. Chagas AM. Arnstein D. Schwarz C and Bethge M (November-2013) Beyond GLMs: A Generative Mixture Modeling Approach to Neural System IdentificationPLoS Computational Biology9(11) 1-9.
Soekadar SR. Born J. Birbaumer N. Bensch M. Halder S. Murguialday AR. Gharabaghi A. Nijboer F. Schölkopf B and Martens S (September-2013) Fragmentation of slow wave sleep after onset of complete locked-in stateJournal of Clinical Sleep Medicine9(9) 951-953.
Cherian A. Sra S. Banerjee A and Papanikolopoulos N (September-2013) Jensen-Bregman LogDet Divergence with Application to Efficient Similarity Search for Covariance MatricesIEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence35(9) 2161-2174.
Hennig P and Kiefel M (March-2013) Quasi-Newton Methods: A New DirectionJournal of Machine Learning Research14 843−865.
Haefner RM. Gerwinn S. Macke JH and Bethge M (February-2013) Inferring decoding strategies from choice probabilities in the presence of correlated variabilityNature Neuroscience16(2) 235–242.
Gerhard HE. Wichmann FA and Bethge M (January-2013) How sensitive is the human visual system to the local statistics of natural images?PLoS Computational Biology9(1) 1-15.
Maier M. von Luxburg U and Hein M (January-2013) How the result of graph clustering methods depends on the construction of the graphESAIM: Probability and Statistics17 370-418.
Mülling K. Boularias A. Mohler B. Schölkopf B and Peters J (September-27-2013) Inverse Reinforcement Learning for Strategy Extraction. ECML PKDD 2013 Workshop on Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics (MLSA13), 1-9.
Wang Z. Deisenroth MP. Ben Amor H. Vogt D. Schölkopf B and Peters J (July-2013) Probabilistic Modeling of Human Movements for Intention Inference In: Robotics: Science and Systems VIII,. 2012 Robotics: Science and Systems Conference, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, USA, 433-440.
Balduzzi D and Besserve M (April-2013) Towards a learning-theoretic analysis of spike-timing dependent plasticity In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 25,. Twenty-Sixth Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS 2012), Curran, Red Hook, NY, USA, 2465-2473.
Balduzzi D (2013) Falsification and future performance In: Algorithmic Probability and Friends: Bayesian Prediction and Artificial Intelligence,. Ray Solomonoff 85th Memorial Conference 2011, Springer, Berlin, Germany, 65-78, Series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ; 7070.
Seldin Y. Laviolette F. Cesa-Bianchi N. Shawe-Taylor J and Auer P (December-2012) PAC-Bayesian Inequalities for MartingalesIEEE Transactions on Information Theory58(12) 7086-7093.
Kober J. Wilhelm A. Oztop E and Peters J (November-2012) Reinforcement learning to adjust parametrized motor primitives to new situationsAutonomous Robots33(4) 361-379.
Berens P. Ecker AS. Cotton RJ. Ma WJ. Bethge M and Tolias AS (August-2012) A Fast and Simple Population Code for Orientation in Primate V1Journal of Neuroscience32(31) 10618-10626.
Nguyen-Tuong D and Peters J (August-2012) Online Kernel-based Learning for Task-Space Tracking Robot ControlIEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems23(9) 1417-1425.
Hennig P and Schuler CJ (June-2012) Entropy Search for Information-Efficient Global OptimizationJournal of Machine Learning Research13 1809-1837.
Nickisch H (May-2012) glm-ie: Generalised Linear Models Inference & Estimation ToolboxJournal of Machine Learning Research13 1699−1703.
Grosse-Wentrup M and Schölkopf B (May-2012) High gamma-power predicts performance in sensorimotor-rhythm brain-computer interfacesJournal of Neural Engineering9(4) 1-8.
Putzeys T. Bethge M. Wichmann F. Wagemans J and Goris R (April-2012) A New Perceptual Bias Reveals Suboptimal Population Decoding of Sensory ResponsesPLoS Computational Biology8(4) 1-13.
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The direct initiation of gaseous detonation is investigated experimentally in the cylindrical geometry. By using a long source of energy deposition along a line (i.e. pentaerythritoltetranitrate (PETN) detonating cord), undesirable charge initiation and confinement effects are eliminated. This permitted the different flow fields of direct initiation of detonation to be studied unambiguously. Although the detonation velocity in the detonating cord is finite, it was sufficiently large compared to the acoustic velocity in the surrounding gas to permit the different flow fields to be investigated within the hypersonic analogy framework, by which the detonating cord synchronizes a continuous series of cylindrical initiation events along its length. The hypersonic approximation was validated in experiments conducted in a non-reactive medium (air). In the supercritical regime of initiation in combustible gas, stable oblique detonations were observed, confirming their existence and stability. In the critical regime, the onset of detonation was observed to occur consistently from stochastic detonative centres. These centres appeared during the initial decay of the blast wave to sub-Chapman–Jouguet (CJ) velocities. The photographic evidence revealed the three-dimensional details of the detonation kernels' amplification. The present results in the cylindrical geometry are further used to discuss criteria for direct initiation of detonations. In conjunction with previous experiments in the spherical and planar geometries, a criterion for direct initiation is found to involve a critical decay rate of the reacting blast wave. In light of the experimental evidence of the inherent three-dimensional effects during the initiation phase, the strict one-dimensionality of current theoretical models is discussed.
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The linear dynamics of rotating Rayleigh–Bénard convection with rigid stress-free boundaries has been thoroughly investigated by Chandrasekhar (1961) who determined the marginal stability boundary and critical horizontal wavenumbers for the onset of convection and overstability as a function of the Taylor number $T$. No closed-form formulae appeared to exist and the results were tabulated numerically. However, by taking the Rayleigh number $R$ as independent variable we have found remarkably simple expressions. When the Prandtl number $P \geq P_<\!\!c>=0.67659$. the marginal stability boundary is described by the curve $T(R)= R[(R/R_c)^<1/2> -1]$ where $R_c=\frac<27><4>\pi^4$ is Rayleigh's famous critical value for the onset of stationary convection in a non-rotating system ( $T=0$ ). For $P < P_<\!\!c>$ the marginal stability boundary is determined by this curve until it is intersected by the curve \[ T(R,P)= R<\Bigg[\bigg(\frac<1+P><2^3 P^4>\bigg)^<1/2>(R/R_c)^<1/2> -\frac<1+P><2P^2>\Bigg]>. \] A simple expression for the intersection point is derived and also for the critical horizontal wavenumbers for which, along the marginal stability boundary, instability sets in either as stationary convection or in an oscillatory fashion. A simple formula is derived for the frequency of the oscillations. Further, we have analytically determined critical points on the marginal stability boundary above which an increase of either viscosity or diffusivity is destabilizing. Finally, we show that if the fluid has zero viscosity the system is always unstable, in contradiction to Chandrasekhar's conclusion.
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This paper describes a photon-counting study of the cavitation luminescence produced by flow over a hydrofoil. This has previously been identified in water saturated with xenon. The four objectives of this study are: to determine whether luminescence can be obtained using air-saturated water; to quantify this emission, if it is present, as a function of flow parameters; to determine whether the photon arrivals occur with random timing, or in ‘bursts’; to put limits on the rates associated with any bursts. The flow experiments were performed in a cavitation tunnel capable of achieving flow velocities of up to about 50 m s $^<-1>$ in the test section. The experimental hydrofoil was a NACA 009 blade. Parameters varied were the flow velocity, the incident angle of the hydrofoil and the cavitation index. The results show that significant photon counts are recorded when leading-edge cavitation takes place and U-shaped vortices (cavities) are shed from the main cavity. The photon count increases dramatically as the flow velocity increases or the cavitation index is reduced. Departures from a Poisson distribution in the arrival times of photons at the detector suggest the presence of ‘bursts’. These may be related to the way vortices are shed from the main cavity. Limits are inferred on the detection rates associated with bursts.
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Flow of a viscous incompressible fluid through a conduit with rigid walls is considered, with the flux given at the entrance and exit. The velocity distribution which minimizes the rate of energy dissipation is characterized. It is a Stokes flow with the surface stress equal to a constant pressure at the entrance and another constant pressure at the exit.
Beginning with his hiring by the Brooklyn Dodgers in the 1940s, Allan Roth pushed the analysis of baseball statistics to a new level. He promoted himself into a place those other analysts only aspired to. Roth was the first to be employed full time by a major league team, “the only zealot lucky enough to work for a major league team and to get to test his theories first hand.”
In 1984's The Hidden Game of Baseball. Pete Palmer came up with a total player rating involving batting, pitching, base running, and fielding. New data on stolen bases over the last two decades inspires the author to update his rating for catchers.
Aquino Abreu—a diminutive right-handed fastball specialist who labored for a decade and a half during the formative years of the modern-era post-revolution Cuban League—remains entirely unknown to North American and Asian baseball fanatics. This is a rather large irony considering that Abreu once registered a string of the most remarkable performances witnessed anywhere in the history of the bat-and-ball sport.
According to Henry Chadwick Award honoree Fred Lieb, no one had ever done as much for baseball research as the diligent, untiring, ever-searching Ernie Lanigan, a writer for Baseball Magazine. author of The Baseball Cyclopedia. and curator of the Baseball Hall of Fame. He was a pioneer at gathering information about baseball statistics and about the players themselves.
Spring 2014 Baseball Research Journal
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